Forest vs. Millwall preview..

Having undergone that game against Doncaster on Tuesday I’m afraid the mood at nffcblog towers is very gloomy and pessimistic again after the respite of better results before.  With not just a poor performance, but poor effort levels evident, against Rovers and mounting injury concerns things are looking a little bleak before we even consider the capabilities or otherwise of the manager.

We are, of course, still in control of our own destiny to some degree – we are outside the relegation zone, we have a three point cushion.  Millwall are a little further ahead of us on the road to safety, and did themselves no harm at all midweek by travelling to Peterborough and pummeling them by three goals to nil,  getting eight points clear of safety.

The burgeoning injury list can now have Marcus Tudgay, Paul Anderson and George Elokobi pencilled in, although we may have the boost of Danny Higginbotham back from his lay-off.  Tudgay and Anderson picked up groin and thigh strains respectively in the warm-up on Tuesday – at some point I would think that somebody would ask the question about the number of injuries we seem to be getting like this.

Having said that, I remain spectacularly unconvinced that the likes of Radi Majewski, David McGoldrick and Matt Derbyshire – to name but three – are actually injured at all.  But anyway, enough of the internet conspiracies.  I have nothing to back up that statement except my own cynicism.

The Lions might be missing leading scorer Henderson, and dangerous midfielder Trotter – both of them have been out for the last three games with hamstring and thigh problems.   They’re on an indifferent run of late – in the last six league games they’ve drawn two, lost two and won two – one of each at home, one of each away.

Our recent form is largely the same – two of each result, and spread evenly between home and away games; if you take the classic six-most-recent-games comparison factor then you’d have this pegged as a reasonable close encounter.  Of course, it’s probably not enough to simply look at recent games.  There’s a big fat reason for this.

Recent form comparison needs to be counterbalanced with the fact that we have the joint worst home record in the whole football league.  That’s right, only four of the 92 teams have hit double figures in terms of home defeats – just ourselves and Hereford have managed as many as eleven.  Hereford just pip us to the worst by virtue of their inferior goal difference on their own patch, although do hover just above the League Two drop zone.

Without a massive reversal in attitude from the players it’s difficult to see much other than another disappointing home reverse.  Hereford at least are not playing at home.  Millwall will offer fight, resolve and effort – if we extrapolate performance levels from the Doncaster game then they’ll find it relatively easy to pick up a result.

So it’s a case of all eyes on Coventry’s game against Birmingham and Donny’s trip to West Ham.  If we lose and either of those win they’ll overtake us and we could find ourselves second from bottom by the end of the day.  If Portsmouth are able to turn over Brighton at the Amex Arena then they’d only be three points away from us too.